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A worked valuation

One file. Four readings. One number — or none.

This is the shape of an answer, not a quotation. Every figure on this page is synthetic and belongs to no matter, no provider and no fund.

Synthetic · workers’ compensation · deep cohort

A receivable the evidence can carry

Billed charges

$311,400

Face value

Discounted value

$96,300

30.9% of face

Expected settlement

30 months

P50, from today

Advance

$72,225

75% of DFV

Chiron

Medicine

Treatment sequence coheres: conservative care, imaging, then surgery, with no gap that would not survive cross-examination. Charges sit above the regional reference for the procedure.

Reduces the expected realisation.

Justine

Law

Lien filed and acknowledged; suit filed five weeks ago. The firm appears too few times in the corpus to score, so counsel quality is reported as unknown rather than assumed.

Widens the band.

Issac

The carrier

Coverage confirmed and policy limits are ample, but the carrier disputes causation on matters of this shape more often than the line average.

Lengthens the expected duration.

Eli

Capital

On the retrieved cohort the discount and the duration together support an advance; the position fits the pool without breaching any concentration dimension.

Sets the advance.

Eve composes. Chiron and Issac pull in opposite directions on duration; the disagreement is named rather than averaged, and it widens the band rather than moving the midpoint. Every figure above traces to a retrieval, and the whole trace is retained so the mark can be re-derived.

Synthetic · the same system, a thin cohort

A receivable the evidence cannot carry

Six comparable settlements. The median of six is an artefact of which six happened to settle, not a property of the population — so this mark carries a range, no midpoint, and no recommended advance. It is excluded from book value rather than assumed to zero, and the book reports the exclusion beside the total instead of quietly shortening it.

Not priceable — 6 comps · thin

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